Day

October 24, 2024

24
Oct
2024

Yes We Can: My Response To Skeptical Readers

Two weeks ago, I wrote about how difficult it is for R&D leaders to “pick winners,” despite the enormous incentives to do so.  I explained how we tend to underestimate the role of chance, and overestimate our ability to “domesticate uncertainty,” as Nassim Taleb and I wrote in the Financial Times in 2008.  Mostly, efforts to systematically improve success rates...
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